Covid infections rise by 14% in a week in UKon September 30, 2022 at 12:35 pm

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But there is no clear evidence of an autumn wave starting, says the Office for National Statistics.

Woman drinking hot tea to relieve a sore throatImage source, Getty Images

Covid infections in the UK are rising and have topped more than one million, according to official estimates.

There has been a 14% rise in people testing positive – which is the biggest weekly increase since the summer.

But at the moment there is no clear evidence of an autumn Covid wave starting, says the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Although Covid is increasing in England and Wales, the trend is uncertain in Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Health experts have warned of a flu and Covid “twindemic” this winter, urging those who qualify to get their free jabs now.

Latest NHS data shows that Covid is on the rise in hospitals, with admission rates highest among the oldest age groups.

Too early to call

Sarah Crofts, from the ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey, said: “It is too early to identify whether this is the start of a new wave of infections. We will continue to closely monitor the data.”

The ONS estimates are based on thousands of random tests on people in private households across the UK, whether or not they have symptoms.

In the UK as a whole, it is the first time estimated Covid infections have risen above one million since the end of August 2022.

In England, infections rose in the North West, Yorkshire and the Humber, the West Midlands, the East of England, London, and the South East – and in all age groups.

Graphic showing UK Covid infections rising by 14% in one week

The tests found that about one in 60 people had Covid in the UK in the week to 20 September, up from one in 70 the week before.

But there were noticeable differences in trends in the four nations of the UK.

The ONS says Covid is infecting:

  • one in 65 people in England (up from one in 70)
  • one in 50 people in Wales (up from one in 75)
  • one in 80 in Northern Ireland (the same as the week before)
  • one in 45 in Scotland (up from one in 55)

Data is for the week ending 17 September 2022 for England, and the week ending 20 September 2022 for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland.

The most common Covid symptom is currently a sore throat, with fever and loss of smell much rarer, according to symptoms logged by 3,000 people testing positive via the Covid symptom app.

Booster jabs against Covid, alongside flu vaccinations, are now being offered to the most vulnerable to help protection over the winter.

Most people will receive a new type of vaccine – made by Pfizer or Moderna – which tackles both the original Covid virus and the recent Omicron variant, offering better protection.

Covid in hospitals

There were 7,000 people in hospital in England with Covid last week – a 37% increase on the week before. But six out of 10 of those were being treated for something else – not Covid-19.

Hospital admissions with Covid were running at around 900 per day, compared to roughly 2,000 in early July during the last surge of Omicron infections.

Dr Mary Ramsay, director of public health programmes at the UK Health Security Agency, is expecting “an unpredictable winter” which will put additional pressure on health services.

“In the coming weeks, we expect a double threat of low immunity and widely circulating flu and Covid-19,” she said.

“While Covid-19 and flu can be mild infections for many, we must not forget that they can cause severe illness or even death for those most vulnerable in our communities.”

She urged people who were unwell this winter to stay at home and avoid contact with vulnerable people to help prevent infections spreading.

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