Ukraine war: Russia achieving success in Donbas, says Ministry of Defenceon June 3, 2022 at 8:17 am

- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

On the war’s 100th day, UK Defence Intelligence says Russia has the initiative in the country’s east.

A woman outside her damaged apartment in Sloviansk, eastern Ukraine

Image source, Getty Images

Russia now appears to have the initiative over Ukraine in the battle for the Donbas, in the country’s east, the UK’s Ministry of Defence has said.

On the war’s 100th day, the UK said Russia holds 90% of the Luhansk region – half of the Donbas – and is likely to complete control of it in two weeks.

It said these tactical successes had been achieved “at significant resource cost” with the concentration of forces.

But it said none of Russia’s original war objectives had been achieved.

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has warned that Moscow’s forces are now in control of 20% of Ukrainian territory, with a front line that extends for more than 1,000 km (621 miles).

On Thursday, Nato Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Western nations must be prepared to support Ukraine over the long haul, as the conflict becomes a “war of attrition”.

In its most recent count of civilian casualties on 2 June, the UN said it had recorded 4,169 deaths and 4,982 injuries – including 67 deaths of children.

But it said the true total was likely to be considerably higher as it has not yet been able to confirm deaths in some regions where the fighting is intense – such as Mariupol in southern Ukraine, where officials estimate 21,000 civilians have been killed.

Assessing the 100-day conflict so far, the UK’s Defence Intelligence, part of the Ministry of Defence, said Moscow had failed in its initial objectives of seizing Ukraine’s centres of government and the capital, Kyiv.

“Staunch Ukrainian resistance” and the failure to secure Hostomel airfield near the capital during the first 24 hours led to the Russian assault being pushed back, the intelligence update said.

It also said Russian forces suffered from “false planning assumptions” and “poor tactical execution”.

Map showing military control in eastern Ukraine

But since it changed its strategy to focus on the Donbas, the region in south-eastern Ukraine where Russian-backed separatist groups have been fighting for eight years, Moscow has begun “achieving tactical success”, the UK said.

“Russian forces have generated and maintained momentum and currently appear to hold the initiative over Ukrainian opposition,” the intelligence update said.

“Russia controls over 90% of Luhansk Oblast and is likely to complete control in the next two weeks.”

This video can not be played

To play this video you need to enable JavaScript in your browser.

The UK intelligence assessment said Russia had not been able to “generate momentum or movement” on other fronts and is on the defensive in other parts of the conflict.

Achieving “any form of success” in the war will require “continued huge investment of manpower and equipment” and is likely to take a considerable amount of time, the assessment concluded.

Banner Image Reading Around the BBC - Blue
Footer - Blue
- Advertisement -




Referee Drysdale apologises for locking heads with Ipswich playeron February 17, 2021 at 1:39 pm

Referee Darren Drysdale apologises for locking heads with Ipswich Town midfielder Alan Judge.In a statement by the Professional Game Match Officials Limited (PGMOL), 49-year-old...

Broad and Lionesses recognised in honourson December 29, 2023 at 10:31 pm

Former England cricketer Stuart Broad and England footballers Millie Bright, Mary Earps and Lauren Hemp are recognised in the New Year Honours.Former England cricketer...

Djokovic visa row: Second player loses visa over vaccine statuson January 7, 2022 at 2:11 pm

Czech player Renata Voracova will leave Australia after losing visa over her vaccine status.

Channel 4 Countdown: ‘Absolutely phenomenal’ student breaks recordson October 6, 2022 at 4:20 pm

Tom Stevenson, 21, says he had something to prove after getting disappointing A-Level results.Image source, Tom StevensonA university student has broken two records on...

Covid: Australia’s border reopens to international visitorson February 21, 2022 at 12:53 am

It allows tourists to enter and families to reunite for the first time in nearly two years.Image source, Getty ImagesAustralia has reopened its international...